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Alfalah GHP Islamic Value Fund - Alfalah AMC

93 /100

Total AUM

Rs. --M

Expense Ratio

0.00%

Category Rank

#2 of 21

AI Analyst Thesis
🐻 Bearish

Live NAV

Rs. 0.0000
0.00% 1D ▲ 3.61% YTD
Data As Of:
March 01, 2026

Interactive Performance

Rs.

Executive Summary

Institutional health checks and AI strategy overview.

Overall Score

93 / 100

Fund DNA X-Ray

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Health Checks

  • Clean Portfolio: Zero non-compliant or provisioned assets detected.

  • Outperforming: 1Y Return (6.19%) beats the category median (2.21%).

  • High Consistency: 36 out of 36 months (100%) were positive over the last 3 years.

  • Cost Effective: Expense ratio (0.00%) is below the category median (1.62%).

  • Red Flag: Significant capital outflows detected (-100.0% drop in AUM).

AI Strategy X-Ray

The KSE-100 suffered its steepest monthly correction in recent history, collapsing 11.5% MoM amid the geopolitical shock of the Iran supreme leader's assassination and a subsequent surge in Brent crude to USD 108/bbl, which triggered domestic fuel hikes and panic selling. The SBP held the policy rate steady at 10.5% as CPI ticked up to 7.3%, while the trade deficit narrowed but cumulative CAD turned negative. In this environment, an Islamic value fund would face severe headwinds from equity exposure, particularly to banks, cement, and fertilizer which led index drag. The absence of positive catalysts post-results and Ramadan slowdown further dampened sentiment, making absolute returns likely deeply negative and underperformance vs. the risk-free rate probable.

Key Manager Actions

  • The fund faced a catastrophic month as the KSE-100 plunged 11.5% on geopolitical catastrophe—the killing of Iran's supreme leader and closure of the Strait of Hormuz sent Brent crude soaring 49% to USD 108, triggering panic selling and a market halt. Banks, cement, and fertilizer were the primary drags, so any exposure to these sectors would have been devastating.
  • Yield dynamics shifted dramatically: the SBP held rates at 10.5% but T-bill yields rose to 11.5% by month-end, making risk-free alternatives more attractive. The fund's dividend yield advantage likely eroded as equity prices collapsed, and the outlook for capital gains turned negative, putting pressure on total return.
  • Forward outlook hinges entirely on geopolitical de-escalation. Any improvement in Iran-US tensions could catalyze a sharp rebound, but the macro landscape remains fragile with inflation rising, CAD turning negative, and FBR revenue falling short. The fund manager should be aggressively defensive, cutting exposure to volatile cyclicals and building cash to deploy on a recovery.

Performance vs. Peers

Trailing absolute returns and consistency analysis.

Sleep Well Metric

Trailing Returns vs Benchmark

Top Tier Alternatives

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Portfolio X-Ray

Behavioral analysis, historical allocations, and conviction tracking.

AI Reading the Tea Leaves

The Asset River (12M History)

Market Timing Visualizer

Concentration Style

Top 10 Holdings Weight: --%

Broad/Index Aggressive Focus

Manager's Playbook (1M Delta)

Holdings DNA

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Risk & Quant Desk

Institutional engine diagnostics, crash testing, and momentum analysis.

The Magic Quadrant (Risk vs Return)

AI Analyst Note

Engine Diagnostics

Market Capture

Trend & Momentum

Yield & Income Stream

Payout reliability, capital preservation, and cashflow simulation.

Audit & Governance Desk

Fee drag simulation, operational security, and historical FMR vault.

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