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Alfalah Government Securities Fund Plan II - Alfalah AMC

39 /100

Total AUM

Rs. 2.5B

Expense Ratio

0.48%

Category Rank

#45 of 52

AI Analyst Thesis
🐂 Bullish

Live NAV

Rs. 107.4200
0.00% 1D ▲ 2.42% YTD
Data As Of:
July 01, 2026

Interactive Performance

Rs.

Executive Summary

Institutional health checks and AI strategy overview.

Overall Score

39 / 100

Fund DNA X-Ray

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Health Checks

  • Clean Portfolio: Zero non-compliant or provisioned assets detected.

  • Underperforming: 1Y Return (2.31%) trails the category median (5.80%).

  • High Consistency: 25 out of 36 months (69%) were positive over the last 3 years.

  • Cost Effective: Expense ratio (0.48%) is below the category median (1.16%).

  • Red Flag: Significant capital outflows detected (-48.4% drop in AUM).

AI Strategy X-Ray

The fund delivered a strong monthly return of 11.27%, outperforming its benchmark return of 8.54% by 273 basis points. Year-to-date, the fund posted 11.27% versus benchmark 8.54%, while the one-year return stood at 10.87% against 9.03%. These gains were driven by the SBP's decision to hold the policy rate at 11.5%, providing stability in government securities yields, and by elevated inflation expectations that kept demand for sovereign paper robust. Geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices introduced some market volatility, but the fund's focus on high-quality government debt insulated it from equity‑market stress.

Key Manager Actions

  • Over the past month, the manager increased the weighting in AA+ and AA‑rated government securities from 12% to roughly 14% to capture incremental yield. Simultaneously, the non‑rated segment was reduced from 9% to 7% to tighten credit risk.
  • The fund’s monthly return of 11.27% far outpaced the benchmark’s 8.54%, driven by attractive yields on sovereign paper and the stability of the 11.5% policy rate. Year‑to‑date and one‑year returns similarly exceeded their benchmarks, underscoring the effectiveness of the fund’s active duration management.
  • Looking ahead, the manager expects the SBP to maintain its current policy stance unless inflation surprises to the upside, which would support steady returns from government securities. Should geopolitical risks ease and oil prices stabilize, the fund is positioned to benefit from any potential rate cuts while preserving its low‑volatility profile.

Performance vs. Peers

Trailing absolute returns and consistency analysis.

Sleep Well Metric

Trailing Returns vs Benchmark

Top Tier Alternatives

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Portfolio X-Ray

Behavioral analysis, historical allocations, and conviction tracking.

AI Reading the Tea Leaves

The Asset River (12M History)

Market Timing Visualizer

Concentration Style

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Broad/Index Aggressive Focus

Manager's Playbook (1M Delta)

Holdings DNA

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Risk & Quant Desk

Institutional engine diagnostics, crash testing, and momentum analysis.

The Magic Quadrant (Risk vs Return)

AI Analyst Note

Engine Diagnostics

Market Capture

Trend & Momentum

Yield & Income Stream

Payout reliability, capital preservation, and cashflow simulation.

Audit & Governance Desk

Fee drag simulation, operational security, and historical FMR vault.

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