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HBL Government Securities Fund - HBL AMC

24 /100

Total AUM

Rs. 3.8B

Expense Ratio

1.86%

Category Rank

#34 of 52

AI Analyst Thesis
⚖️ Neutral

Live NAV

Rs. 116.5800
0.00% 1D ▲ 2.70% YTD
Data As Of:
July 01, 2026

Interactive Performance

Rs.

Executive Summary

Institutional health checks and AI strategy overview.

Overall Score

24 / 100

Fund DNA X-Ray

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Health Checks

  • Clean Portfolio: Zero non-compliant or provisioned assets detected.

  • Underperforming: 1Y Return (4.86%) trails the category median (5.80%).

  • High Consistency: 33 out of 36 months (91%) were positive over the last 3 years.

  • Expensive: Expense ratio (1.86%) is higher than the category median (1.16%).

  • Red Flag: Significant capital outflows detected (-50.1% drop in AUM).

AI Strategy X-Ray

In July 2026, HBL Government Securities Fund delivered an annualized return of 10.48%, slightly lagging its benchmark's 11.27% YTD return amid rising inflation and a steady policy rate at 11.5%. While the fund outperformed on a 3‑month basis (12.53% vs 11.62%), it trailed over 6‑ and 1‑year horizons, reflecting its active duration management in a volatile rate environment. Over longer horizons the fund has added significant value, posting 3‑ and 5‑year annualized returns of 19.18% and 19.50% versus benchmark returns of 15.05%, underscoring the benefit of its PIB‑heavy allocation. Macro‑economic stabilization, strengthening external reserves and modest GDP growth prospects provided a supportive backdrop for government securities.

Key Manager Actions

  • During July the fund trimmed its PIB exposure slightly and increased cash holdings, reducing the weighted average maturity from 294 to 261 days. This shift reflects a defensive stance ahead of potential inflation‑driven rate hikes.
  • Despite a challenging inflation backdrop, the fund’s 3‑month annualized return of 12.53% exceeded its benchmark, showcasing the benefit of active duration management. Over the longer term, the fund’s 5‑year annualized return of 19.50% significantly outpaces the benchmark’s 15.05%, highlighting the compounding advantage of its PIB‑centric strategy.
  • Looking ahead, the SBP’s hold on the policy rate at 11.5% and improving external reserves suggest a stable yield curve, which could favor medium‑term government bonds. However, persistent inflationary pressures and geopolitical risks may trigger volatility, prompting the manager to maintain a flexible duration stance.

Performance vs. Peers

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Sleep Well Metric

Trailing Returns vs Benchmark

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Portfolio X-Ray

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AI Reading the Tea Leaves

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Concentration Style

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Broad/Index Aggressive Focus

Manager's Playbook (1M Delta)

Holdings DNA

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Risk & Quant Desk

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Yield & Income Stream

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Audit & Governance Desk

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