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HBL Total Treasury Exchange Traded Fund

71 /100

Total AUM

Rs. 522M

Expense Ratio

0.67%

Category Rank

#7 of 8

AI Analyst Thesis
⚖️ Neutral

Live NAV

Rs. 105.8400
0.00% 1D ▼ 5.55% YTD
Data As Of:
July 01, 2026

Interactive Performance

Rs.

Executive Summary

Institutional health checks and AI strategy overview.

Overall Score

71 / 100

Fund DNA X-Ray

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Health Checks

  • Clean Portfolio: Zero non-compliant or provisioned assets detected.

  • Underperforming: 1Y Return (-5.55%) trails the category median (-1.57%).

  • Volatile Path: Only 4 out of 36 months (11%) were positive over the last 3 years.

  • Cost Effective: Expense ratio (0.67%) is below the category median (0.88%).

AI Strategy X-Ray

The HBL Total Treasury ETF delivered a strong monthly return of 11.78%, outperforming its benchmark by 139 basis points, and posted a year‑to‑date gain of 11.78% versus 10.39% for the CB Total Treasury Index. Over the longer horizon, the fund’s 1‑year and 3‑year annualized returns of 9.80% and 18.22% continue to exceed the benchmark’s 9.28% and 12.54%, reflecting efficient tracking and a low‑duration government securities focus. This performance unfolded amid headline inflation of 9.2% YoY and a steady SBP policy rate of 11.5%, which kept short‑term yields attractive. Improving private‑sector credit and a strengthening external position further supported demand for sovereign paper, allowing the fund to capture the high‑yield environment while maintaining low volatility.

Key Manager Actions

  • We observed no material shifts in the fund’s composition during July; the allocation to J‑Bills remained virtually unchanged at 98.82%, while cash holdings rose slightly from 0.68% to 1.11%. This stability reflects the manager’s commitment to tight index replication rather than active tactical bets.
  • The fund’s yield to maturity stood at 11.51%, translating into double‑digit annualized returns that consistently outpaced the benchmark by a modest tracking error. The outperformance is driven by efficient replication and the fund’s ability to capture the high short‑term yields prevailing in the money market.
  • Looking ahead, the SBP’s expected pause on rate cuts amid persistent inflation should keep short‑term yields elevated, supporting steady income for the ETF. However, any unexpected monetary easing or a sharp decline in inflation could reduce yields, prompting the manager to maintain a low‑duration stance to mitigate reinvestment risk.

Performance vs. Peers

Trailing absolute returns and consistency analysis.

Sleep Well Metric

Trailing Returns vs Benchmark

Top Tier Alternatives

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Portfolio X-Ray

Behavioral analysis, historical allocations, and conviction tracking.

AI Reading the Tea Leaves

The Asset River (12M History)

Market Timing Visualizer

Concentration Style

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Broad/Index Aggressive Focus

Manager's Playbook (1M Delta)

Holdings DNA

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Risk & Quant Desk

Institutional engine diagnostics, crash testing, and momentum analysis.

The Magic Quadrant (Risk vs Return)

AI Analyst Note

Engine Diagnostics

Market Capture

Trend & Momentum

Yield & Income Stream

Payout reliability, capital preservation, and cashflow simulation.

Audit & Governance Desk

Fee drag simulation, operational security, and historical FMR vault.

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