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NBP Pakistan Growth Exchange Traded Fund

50 /100

Total AUM

Rs. 281M

Expense Ratio

1.55%

Category Rank

#5 of 8

AI Analyst Thesis
🐂 Bullish

Live NAV

Rs. 25.7600
0.00% 1D ▼ 2.25% YTD
Data As Of:
August 01, 2026

Interactive Performance

Rs.

Executive Summary

Institutional health checks and AI strategy overview.

Overall Score

50 / 100

Fund DNA X-Ray

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Health Checks

  • Clean Portfolio: Zero non-compliant or provisioned assets detected.

  • Underperforming: 1Y Return (-2.25%) trails the category median (-1.57%).

  • Volatile Path: Only 2 out of 36 months (6%) were positive over the last 3 years.

  • Expensive: Expense ratio (1.55%) is higher than the category median (0.88%).

  • Strong Momentum: Positive capital inflows (10.2% AUM growth).

AI Strategy X-Ray

In August 2026, the NBP Pakistan Growth ETF posted a modest NAV gain of 0.3%, slightly lagging its benchmark NBPPGI which rose 0.4%, reflecting a tracking error of just 0.01%. This performance occurred amid a strengthening macroeconomic backdrop: Pakistan's fiscal deficit narrowed to 2.6% of GDP, the primary balance posted a record 2.9% surplus, and sovereign ratings were upgraded by S&P to 'B' and Moody's to 'B3'. Corporate earnings grew approximately 11% year-on-year, led by oil & gas and banking sectors, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East kept oil prices volatile but showed signs of easing.

Key Manager Actions

  • During August, the manager increased exposure to Oil & Gas Exploration stocks, which outperformed the broader market, while reducing weight in Commercial Banks, Cement, Fertilizer and Power Generation sectors that underperformed. This tactical shift contributed to the fund’s slight underperformance relative to the benchmark, as the benchmark’s broader sector mix captured the rally more fully.
  • The ETF delivered a NAV gain of 0.3% for the month, trailing the benchmark’s 0.4% rise, resulting in a minimal tracking error of 0.01%. Year‑to‑date returns remain solid, underpinned by double‑digit corporate earnings growth and a stable macroeconomic environment, though specific YTD figures are not disclosed in the report.
  • Looking ahead, the manager anticipates continued double‑digit market returns driven by macroeconomic stability, attractive KSE‑100 valuations at ~8x forward earnings, and expected declines in inflation and interest rates. Geopolitical risks are viewed as transitory, with a negotiated settlement likely to restore investor confidence and fuel further equity inflows.

Performance vs. Peers

Trailing absolute returns and consistency analysis.

Sleep Well Metric

Trailing Returns vs Benchmark

Top Tier Alternatives

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Portfolio X-Ray

Behavioral analysis, historical allocations, and conviction tracking.

AI Reading the Tea Leaves

The Asset River (12M History)

Market Timing Visualizer

Concentration Style

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Broad/Index Aggressive Focus

Manager's Playbook (1M Delta)

Holdings DNA

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Risk & Quant Desk

Institutional engine diagnostics, crash testing, and momentum analysis.

The Magic Quadrant (Risk vs Return)

AI Analyst Note

Engine Diagnostics

Market Capture

Trend & Momentum

Yield & Income Stream

Payout reliability, capital preservation, and cashflow simulation.

Audit & Governance Desk

Fee drag simulation, operational security, and historical FMR vault.

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